Sen. Ted Cruz contends he can win the GOP nomination and that Republicans and constitutional conservatives are forming behind him for that pathway to victory. The only problem is — the math.
The Associated Press did a breakdown with all the numbers and even though Donald Trump has a hard road to winning the GOP nomination with the required 1237 delegates, Cruise hasn’t even harder road to victory, but he is not telling his supporters and followers.
From the Associated Press:
Looking ahead, there are three winner-take-all contests on June 7, the last day for GOP primaries. These contests are a strong incentive for Trump — and the candidates trying to stop him — to stay in the race.
The AP delegate count:
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz: 406.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich: 142.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio exited the race Tuesday, with 169 delegates.
Cruz said Tuesday night that he can still clinch the nomination by the time the primaries are over. But he can’t, according to the AP analysis, unless all the other candidates drop out.
Cruz needs to win 78 percent of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination before the convention.
Even if Cruz won all of the remaining winner-take-all states — there are only six more — he couldn’t reach the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the convention.
After Tuesday’s contests, Cruz has won just 29 percent of the delegates awarded so far.
It’s hard to win a majority of the delegates in a crowded field because most GOP states award delegates in proportion to the vote, so even the losers can get some.
The system also makes it hard for a second-place candidate to catch a front-runner with a significant lead.
Cruz and Kasich are now fighting to keep Trump from reaching 1,237 delegates. If they are successful, no one would go to the convention with a majority and the convention would be contested.
As we stated earlier, Trump also has a hard way to go but he does have a better chance then Cruz and John Kasich. I know as a candidate you need to keep your troops motivated and focus for the road you have to travel but this news can’t be good.
What is the next step for Cruz? What should he do? If he combines his delegates with Rubio and Kasich his road is a lot more clearer but will the other two candidates want to play ball without compensation? Share your opinions below and let us know what you think.
h/t – Associated Press