The Polls Are Bulls**t…. Dems Are In Seriously Big Trouble

The Polls Are Bulls**t…. Dems Are In Seriously Big Trouble

Well, if you read Wayne Dupree, you know I am a big fan of the political blog “American Thinker” and I always try to bring you some of the work they do. Well, today, I was poking around their site, and I happened upon a doozy of a piece that tackles a topic that is near and dear to my heart: propaganda polls. This is the time of year when propaganda polls are almost everywhere. They are tools the media uses to drive clicks and change the narrative. Suddenly, as we get closer to election day, the “Red Wave” is dying, and Dems are surging… that’s the message they expect us to believe. And if you’re dumb enough to believe that, I have some beach-front property in Arizona I’d love to sell you.

There is no way in hell that Dems are “surging” where there is crippling inflation, soaring gas prices, WW3 is looming, and the economy is in a recession.

But hey, nice try, guys. 

American Thinker’s Fletch Daniels piece on these goofy and ridiculous propaganda polls is fantastic. He said the Democrat media, in conjunction with their allies in the polling industry, have driven the false narrative that the Democrats are likely to defy both history and their historically awful record and do fairly well in the midterms, particularly in Senate races.

To borrow a word from Mr. 10%, this has always been malarkey.  We go through this same dance every cycle where the polls miraculously start to shift towards the Republicans in the last month, as polling outfits grudgingly start moving towards something resembling reality to avoid copious amounts of eggs on their face.

But, even at that, the polls during this cycle are likely the worst we’ve ever seen and the fault lies more with the administration than the polling industry.   There is simply no way to accurately capture voting percentages when broad swaths of the country are hiding their views.

The alignment of the Democrat media, academia, the leftist government bureaucracy, social media, and entertainment industry into a cultural Death Star aimed at Republicans birthed the concept of the “shy” voters.  In 2016, this phenomenon helped to explain how Republicans, to include President Trump, overperformed their polls.

But a lot has changed since 2016.  Where voters might have once had concerns about how they would be perceived, they now know that the government and its cultural flying monkey minions view them as the enemy.  The scales have fallen from their eyes.  So, the shy voter has been replaced by the smart voter who has seen far too much evidence that the government is out to get him, or at least to monitor and silence him.

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A few weeks back I did a story about left-wing pollster Nate Cohn, who is trying to tell Dems that the polls they’re using to tout this “comeback” are likely all wrong… but of course, nobody is listening to him.

Corporate media polls are giving Nate Cohn, the New York Times poll-parser, the willies.  Cohn is well aware of polls’ flaws.  He just sounded a blue alert for Democrats.  Via MEDIAite, September 12:

Democratic Senate candidates are outrunning expectations in the same places where the polls overestimated Mr. Biden in 2020 and Mrs. Clinton in 2016.
That’s a polite way of saying that big media polls are skewed.  Cohn cites a failure to make “significant methodological changes,” which, translated, means, in part, a lot of polls oversample Democrats.  Even with slanted polls, Democrats are struggling.  Republicans are positioned to rack up a whole heap of wins come November.  Democrat consultants are well aware of that bleak prospect.

At this point, Nate knows if he doesn’t pipe up about the polls, he’s toast.

His reputation took such a beating for the farce he went along with in 2016, that he just can’t play these games anymore if he wants to stay somewhat relevant.

Fletch goes on to say this about the propaganda polls:

The polls that are most valuable avoid mention of candidates and focus on less controversial issues.  One worth noting was a recent Gallup poll in which 48% of Americans believe the Republican Party is best equipped to handle the issue most important to them, versus 37% who believed it was the Democrat party.  While even a poll like this likely suffers from undersampling conservatives, it is a better snapshot of the current environment than candidate-based surveys, which can be more easily twisted into accusations of extremist “wrongthink.”

That number has to terrify Democrats, who always benefit from oversampling.  That is an 11% gap — the kind of result that would be expected to produce some major surprises, which adds to my expectation that the Republicans will significantly outperform polls in the House while scooping up almost all the competitive Senate seats.

There is a noticeable lack of enthusiasm on the Left.  Driving the streets around my Northern Virginia neighborhood, I see no Jennifer Wexton signs, where normally the Democrat candidate’s signs would dot the landscape by now next to the ironic “hate has no home here” signs.  The race in my district, which isn’t even on the national radar, is going to be far closer than expected, and it would not surprise me a bit if underdog Republican Hung Cao, who would be a great congressman, wins that race.

In this environment where polls are likely to be so far off, I don’t think races that show a Republican up by a point or two (North Carolina, Wisconsin) are competitive.  I also expect Republicans to win in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Arizona, and Georgia, and maybe even in New Hampshire, Colorado, and Washington.  We will see how the polls magically “shift” over the next month, but I believe that any Democrat Senate candidate who is not ahead by at least four points come election day is in deep trouble.

I would highly suggest you read Fletch’s entire piece, it’s really well done, and if you’re at all nervous about the midterms or feel confused by these ridiculous polls, this article will help. You can find it here.

But as always, I tell everyone that we can’t sit this one out. We just can’t. This has to be a massive FLOODING of the polls like we’ve never seen before. We need to hand R’s the House and the Senate, take over as many governor spots as we can, and reclaim local and state governments as well.

We can do this, if we don’t flinch, and we come out in droves.

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