There are indications that African Americans are gradually leaving the Democratic Party. Even if this transition is far less abrupt than the massive exodus of Hispanic Americans from the party, it is still taking place. As the midterm elections in November approach, this dynamic warrants serious study. And as we’ve seen time and time again, even a 1%–2% movement in support may make the difference between winning and losing an election. Republicans presently lead Democrats by 0.9% in the Real Clear Politics average of surveys for the generic congregational vote, which asks participants which party’s candidate they would support if…
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