Battle for Pennsylvania: Trump Leads Biden in New Quinnipiac Poll

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  • Source: Wayne Dupree
  • 06/29/2023
In Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state that Biden narrowly won in 2020, former President Donald Trump is currently ahead of the incumbent. In 2016, Trump previously won the Keystone State.

In a hypothetical rematch in 2024, according to the new Quinnipiac poll, which polled 1,584 registered Pennsylvania voters between June 22 and June 26, President Trump would prevail with 47% of the vote to Biden's 46%.

In the competitive 2024 Republican presidential primary, the former president had a commanding lead with 49 percent of the vote among GOP voters polled. With 25% of the vote, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis came in second, while Chris Christie and former Vice President Mike Pence each received 5%.

Regarding the Democratic primary, President Biden received support from 71% of respondents, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. coming in at a distant second with 17%. Author Marianne Williamson polled at 5%, which was also in line with overall national trends.

Despite making several trips there during his presidency, President Biden's approval rating in the state is also below average. Only 39% of respondents said they thought the president was doing a good job, while 58% said they didn't. Prior to moving to Delaware when he was nine years old, Biden was born in Scranton, Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvanians currently have a favorable opinion of the recently elected Democratic governor Josh Shapiro, whereas President Biden's favorability rating is still in the toilet. Just 23% of voters said they had a negative opinion of Shapiro, while 57% of voters said he was doing a good job. Twenty percent more respondents said they had no opinion.

For Senator John Fetterman, a newly elected Pennsylvania Democrat, the outcomes were less than encouraging. With only 39% of respondents indicating a favorable opinion, Fetterman has a lower approval rating than Biden. An additional 50% have a negative opinion.

Democratic senator Bob Casey fared much better, earning a net favorability rating of +12%. In 2024, Casey will be up for reelection.

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