This week saw the announcement of three additional contenders for the GOP's 2024 presidential nomination, expanding the field and presumably helping former President Donald Trump.
With 12 candidates altogether, the primary may benefit Trump once more, as it did in the 2016 presidential primary.
Political experts mostly interpret the math as each of the contenders with lower polling numbers realizing that they must challenge the front-runner Trump, who has a big double-digit lead over the competition, in order to win the nomination. Additionally, Trump's support will be more diluted in state primary elections the more direct opponents he has.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, former Vice President Mike Pence, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, Vivek Ramaswamy, former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson, Larry Elder, Ryan Binkley, and Perry Johnson are currently running against Trump in the primary.
On the Fox News Channel last week, Trump remarked regarding the expanding field, "That's a nice thing, isn't it. "I believe it's good. However, I don't believe it matters. I have no idea why people engage in it. They have 1%. Certain are at zero.
The crowded GOP primary is reminiscent of the 2016 presidential primary, which featured so many contenders that there were two distinct levels for the first debate, one for the candidates who earned more support and another for the less popular ones.
Christie, Dr. Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, then-Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore, and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum competed against Trump in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.
Former New York Governor George Pataki, South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, former Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, former Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, and former Texas Governor Rick Perry were the other five contenders that withdrew from the campaign before the primaries started.
With 45% of the vote in the state elections and 63% of the party delegates sent to the Republican National Convention, respectively, Trump won the majority of the popular vote in the 2016 primary contest.
According to Bloomberg, there are now 17 winner-take-all GOP primary states as opposed to seven in 2016.
For instance, Trump received less than one-third of the vote in South Carolina's GOP presidential primary in 2016. However, five more contenders received the remaining votes. Because South Carolina was a winner-take-all state, Trump was able to claim all 50 of the state's delegates.
Trump is at 53.2% in the most current RealClearPolitics survey, DeSantis is at 22.4%, Haley is at 4.4%, and everyone else is below 4%.
Trump recently remarked regarding DeSantis and his fledgling campaign, "I really go after the one who's second, and I think the one who's second has gone down so dramatically and so swiftly that I don't think he's going to be second that much longer." "I anticipate him finishing third or fourth."
Two weeks ago, when Scott entered the race, Trump wished him success and remarked, "Good luck to Senator Tim Scott in the Republican Presidential Primary Race. The crowd is growing quickly, and Tim is a significant improvement over Ron DeSanctimonious, who is completely undelectable.
In response to Trump's tweet welcoming Scott to the race, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) said, "There's a reason Trump tweeted. The more the merrier in Trump's eyes.
Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) expressed his worries, along with those of some of his fellow Republicans, that the 2024 presidential primary would be "a rerun of 2016."
Many of these individuals, he noted, "are in the low single digits." So, if after a few months their numbers don't improve, my aim is that they'll opt to withdraw so that it's a two- or three-person race. As far as I'm concerned, that would be the finest progression.
With 12 candidates altogether, the primary may benefit Trump once more, as it did in the 2016 presidential primary.
Political experts mostly interpret the math as each of the contenders with lower polling numbers realizing that they must challenge the front-runner Trump, who has a big double-digit lead over the competition, in order to win the nomination. Additionally, Trump's support will be more diluted in state primary elections the more direct opponents he has.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, former Vice President Mike Pence, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, Vivek Ramaswamy, former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson, Larry Elder, Ryan Binkley, and Perry Johnson are currently running against Trump in the primary.
On the Fox News Channel last week, Trump remarked regarding the expanding field, "That's a nice thing, isn't it. "I believe it's good. However, I don't believe it matters. I have no idea why people engage in it. They have 1%. Certain are at zero.
The crowded GOP primary is reminiscent of the 2016 presidential primary, which featured so many contenders that there were two distinct levels for the first debate, one for the candidates who earned more support and another for the less popular ones.
Christie, Dr. Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, then-Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore, and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum competed against Trump in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.
Former New York Governor George Pataki, South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, former Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, former Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, and former Texas Governor Rick Perry were the other five contenders that withdrew from the campaign before the primaries started.
With 45% of the vote in the state elections and 63% of the party delegates sent to the Republican National Convention, respectively, Trump won the majority of the popular vote in the 2016 primary contest.
According to Bloomberg, there are now 17 winner-take-all GOP primary states as opposed to seven in 2016.
For instance, Trump received less than one-third of the vote in South Carolina's GOP presidential primary in 2016. However, five more contenders received the remaining votes. Because South Carolina was a winner-take-all state, Trump was able to claim all 50 of the state's delegates.
Trump is at 53.2% in the most current RealClearPolitics survey, DeSantis is at 22.4%, Haley is at 4.4%, and everyone else is below 4%.
Trump recently remarked regarding DeSantis and his fledgling campaign, "I really go after the one who's second, and I think the one who's second has gone down so dramatically and so swiftly that I don't think he's going to be second that much longer." "I anticipate him finishing third or fourth."
Two weeks ago, when Scott entered the race, Trump wished him success and remarked, "Good luck to Senator Tim Scott in the Republican Presidential Primary Race. The crowd is growing quickly, and Tim is a significant improvement over Ron DeSanctimonious, who is completely undelectable.
In response to Trump's tweet welcoming Scott to the race, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) said, "There's a reason Trump tweeted. The more the merrier in Trump's eyes.
Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) expressed his worries, along with those of some of his fellow Republicans, that the 2024 presidential primary would be "a rerun of 2016."
Many of these individuals, he noted, "are in the low single digits." So, if after a few months their numbers don't improve, my aim is that they'll opt to withdraw so that it's a two- or three-person race. As far as I'm concerned, that would be the finest progression.
