Not Even Close! Trump Holds Strong Lead in GOP Presidential Race Despite Federal Charges

  • by:
  • Source: Wayne Dupree
  • 06/17/2023
A new Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll published exclusively to The Hill on Friday shows that, despite being arrested on federal charges in a classified papers case, former President Trump still has a sizable lead in the crowded Republican presidential race. 

If the Republican primary were conducted today, 59% of Republican respondents indicated they would vote for Trump, while 14% said they would vote for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Only 8% of Republican primary voters said they would support former VP Pence, while only 4% said they would vote for former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley. 

The survey was taken less than a week after the ex-president said he was facing federal charges. 

According to Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll study, "the indictment of former President Trump has had little influence on his popularity in the GOP primary as Ron DeSantis has even more distance to make up with the arrival of so many new contenders." 

A federal court in Miami heard Trump's arraignment on Tuesday, but that didn't stop him from being in full campaign mode. Before returning to Bedminster, N.J., to address his fans and meet with fundraisers, Trump stopped at a renowned Cuban restaurant in Little Havana following his arraignment.

After the indictment news broke, Trump's campaign said on Thursday that he had raised over $6 million. 

The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll polled 2,090 eligible voters between June 14 and 15. The Harris Poll and Harvard University's Centre for American Political Studies joined forces on this.

The survey is a statistically valid, representative online sample from the Harris Panel's pool of respondents, with answers weighted to account for known demographic characteristics. The online survey does not provide a confidence range for its statistical validity as a representative sample.

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