According to a new survey published on Monday, Rep. Cori Bush (D-Mo.) is behind her Democratic primary opponent by 22 points. The Missouri Scout commissioned the GOP company Remington Research Group to conduct a survey on February 7-9, which included 401 probable Democratic primary voters in 2024.
In the hypothetical primary, which hypothetically took place today and included three candidates—Wesley Bell, Maria Chapelle Nadal, and Bush—respondents were asked to choose whom they would vote for. It was unclear from the question whether candidate was the incumbent. Of the responses, 50% named Bell, 28% named Bush, and 4% named Nadal. Of these, 18% indicated they were unsure.
In the majority of demographic analyses, Bell leads Bush as well. Twenty percent of African American respondents are unsure, while forty-three percent back Bell and thirty-five percent back Bush. Bell has a higher percentage of support among white respondents (60%) than from the 20 percent who say they back Bush.
Bell and Bush are the favorites of respondents who describe themselves as "extremely progressive"; 43% of them back each politician. Bell leads Bush, 42 percent to 27 percent, among those who identify as "somewhat progressive." Bell leads Bush by a similar margin, 52 percent to 23 percent, among those who identify as moderates and conservatives.
Bush's reelection campaign faces a grave danger as Democratic opponents of Israel are facing primary challenges in several districts throughout the nation. Since the conflict between Israel and Hamas, the terrorist group that the United States has identified as being in control of the Gaza Strip, started in October 2023, Bush has been outspoken in his support of Palestinians and criticism of Israel.
In addition, the poll asked potential Democratic voters about their opinions on "the conflict in the Middle East," specifically whether they were more sympathetic to the Palestinians or the Israelis.
Only 21% of respondents claimed they were more sympathetic to the Palestinians, compared to 35% who said they were more sympathetic to the Israelis. The majority of respondents, or 44%, stated they were "not sure." The Hill contacted Bush's campaign staff for comment, but they did not reply. There was a 4.9 percentage point margin of error in the poll.
In the hypothetical primary, which hypothetically took place today and included three candidates—Wesley Bell, Maria Chapelle Nadal, and Bush—respondents were asked to choose whom they would vote for. It was unclear from the question whether candidate was the incumbent. Of the responses, 50% named Bell, 28% named Bush, and 4% named Nadal. Of these, 18% indicated they were unsure.
In the majority of demographic analyses, Bell leads Bush as well. Twenty percent of African American respondents are unsure, while forty-three percent back Bell and thirty-five percent back Bush. Bell has a higher percentage of support among white respondents (60%) than from the 20 percent who say they back Bush.
Bell and Bush are the favorites of respondents who describe themselves as "extremely progressive"; 43% of them back each politician. Bell leads Bush, 42 percent to 27 percent, among those who identify as "somewhat progressive." Bell leads Bush by a similar margin, 52 percent to 23 percent, among those who identify as moderates and conservatives.
Bush's reelection campaign faces a grave danger as Democratic opponents of Israel are facing primary challenges in several districts throughout the nation. Since the conflict between Israel and Hamas, the terrorist group that the United States has identified as being in control of the Gaza Strip, started in October 2023, Bush has been outspoken in his support of Palestinians and criticism of Israel.
In addition, the poll asked potential Democratic voters about their opinions on "the conflict in the Middle East," specifically whether they were more sympathetic to the Palestinians or the Israelis.
Only 21% of respondents claimed they were more sympathetic to the Palestinians, compared to 35% who said they were more sympathetic to the Israelis. The majority of respondents, or 44%, stated they were "not sure." The Hill contacted Bush's campaign staff for comment, but they did not reply. There was a 4.9 percentage point margin of error in the poll.
