Republicans Eyeing Senate Comeback: Jewish Voters' Shift to GOP Could Be Game-Changer

Republicans hoping to retake the Senate in November believe that an apparent acceleration of Jewish voters' defect from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party might greatly help their candidates in key battleground elections.

The American-Israeli Cooperative Enterprise (AICE) has compiled voting data dating back to 1912, which indicates a significant shift in Jewish voting patterns starting with the 2016 presidential election, when Republican Donald Trump received 26% of the vote, compared to the average of 23.75% for the four previous GOP presidential candidates.

In 2020, President Trump gained four percentage points more to reach thirty percent of the Jewish vote.

More recently, an early April I&I/TIPP Poll survey of 1,400 registered voters regarding President Joe Biden's "shift away from Israel" following the Hamas massacre on October 7 revealed a significant partisan shift, with 55% of Republicans stating they strongly or mostly disagree and 56% of Democrats stating they strongly or mostly agree.
Voters in the United States have historically supported Israel in large numbers regardless of party, particularly in times of crisis for the sole democratic government in the Middle East, Israel.

With the recent surge in overtly anti-Semitic campus protests and President Biden's wavering support of Israel in the wake of the October 7 Hamas terrorist attacks that claimed the lives of over 1,200 Israelis, Republican campaign strategists see shifting among Jewish voters as a significant advantage going into the 2024 Senate campaigns. However, they acknowledge that the evidence is still largely anecdotal.

To achieve a 50–50 split, the Republicans need to win only one seat; to overturn the Democrats' current 51–49 dominance, they need to gain two seats.

Under the condition of anonymity, a top Senate Republican campaign strategist told The Epoch Times that while the latest evidence of an increasing Jewish voter transfer from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party is anecdotal, it is definitely something to take into account in important battleground states.

According to the strategy, "Nevada has the highest per capita number of Jewish voters, followed by Pennsylvania and Wisconsin."


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