President Joe Biden's Approval Ratings Plummet Ahead of 2024 Election: Is a Second Term in Jeopardy?

  • by:
  • Source: Wayne Dupree
  • 06/13/2024
President Joe Biden's approval ratings have hit a new low just months before the 2024 election, with an average approval rating of 37.4% and a disapproval rating of 56.8%. The situation has sparked discussions about the potential risks of his candidacy, with some suggesting that he may be better off not seeking a second term. Despite the low approval numbers, Biden maintains a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in election simulations.

The decline in Biden's approval ratings can be attributed to recent polls, such as the YouGov survey conducted in June showing 36% approval and 60% disapproval. However, adjustments made by FiveThirtyEight reflected a similar trend. Despite these challenges, Biden remains confident on the campaign trail, emphasizing the progress made by his administration and the importance of grassroots support.

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight noted the critical juncture Biden faces, where dropping out could be a significant risk, but continuing to run may pose an even greater one if approval ratings continue to decline. Silver also suggested that Democrats might have been better served if Biden had opted not to seek reelection, allowing for a more robust primary process.

Looking back at Biden's previous approval ratings, the current net negative of 19.4 percentage points marks a new low for his administration. The president has expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the grassroots support his campaign has garnered, with over 2 million individual contributors who have donated less than $200 each.

As the election cycle progresses, the dynamics of Biden's approval ratings and electoral prospects will continue to evolve. The current data indicates a challenging road ahead for the Biden administration, but with a strong emphasis on grassroots support and a message of progress, Biden remains determined to push forward in the face of adversity.



 

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